๐Ÿ†• Construction Risk Layer v1 โ€” July 9, 2026

๐Ÿ”ฎ Early Warning System

Threshold-based anomaly detection for construction-induced subsidence. Catches sudden cm-scale events invisible to satellite InSAR โ€” tested against the Purple Line tunnel leak at Wong Wian Yai.

โš ๏ธ The Gap: What InSAR Misses

SinkAlert's core detection pipeline uses satellite InSAR (Sentinel-1) to measure ground deformation at mm/year resolution with multi-day revisit times. This is excellent for chronic, groundwater-driven subsidence โ€” but it is completely blind to sudden construction-induced events.

InSAR Detection

โœ“ 10-30 mm/year creep
โœ“ 12-day revisit
โœ“ Covers entire city
โœ“ Free (ESA Copernicus)

Purple Line Leak

โœ— 200 mm in 6 hours
โœ— 30m depth (invisible)
โœ— Construction defect
โœ— No InSAR signal for weeks

๐Ÿงช Live Simulation: Purple Line Tunnel Leak

July 9, 2026 Sump pit joint failure at 30m depth โ€” Wong Wian Yai, Prachadhipok Road. Contractors: Italian-Thai + Nawarat Patanakarn JV (Tao Poon-Rat Burana section). 20cm road subsidence in 6 hours.

Source: Bangkok Post โ€” verified.

๐Ÿ“Š Final Sensor Readings

Surface Settlement
0 mm
Settlement Rate
0 mm/day
Piezometer Drop (30m)
0 kPa
Combined Risk Score
0/100

๐Ÿ“‹ Alert Log

๐Ÿ’ก Key Finding

โš ๏ธ WARN fires at t=19h

Settlement rate hits 21.5 mm/day and piezometer drops 39 kPa. This is 1 hour before the major 20cm surface collapse at t=20h.

Enough time to close Prachadhipok Road and evacuate.

๐Ÿšจ ALERT fires at t=22h

153mm total settlement, 152 mm/day rate, 89 kPa pressure drop. Road already closed โ€” monitoring confirms tunnel leak is ongoing.

Pumping and grouting response underway.

๐Ÿ“ Detection Thresholds

Calibrated from worldwide case studies of TBM/tunnel failures. Sources: Crossrail (ICE 2015), Nicoll Highway COI (2005), Amsterdam N/S Line (van Hasselt 2009), ITA Guidelines (2021).

Sensor๐ŸŸข WATCH๐ŸŸก WARN๐Ÿ”ด ALERTSource
Settlement (mm)1030100Crossrail ICE 2015
Settlement rate (mm/day)51550Nicoll Highway COI 2005
Piezometer drop (kPa)2050100Amsterdam N/S Line 2009
Inclinometer (mm/day)3615Nicoll Highway COI 2005
TBM pressure dev (%)102035ITA Guidelines 2021
Spoil excess (%)51020ITA Guidelines 2021

๐Ÿ—๏ธ Where It Fits

๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ
Layer 1
InSAR Satellite
mm/year ยท deployed
๐Ÿ“ท
Layer 2
Dashcam CV (YOLO)
cracks ยท deployed
๐ŸŒง๏ธ
Layer 3
Environmental
rain ยท deployed
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Layer 4 ๐Ÿ†•
Construction Risk
prototype built

Layer 4 is a pre-ML filter โ€” it flags anomalies using physics-based thresholds before they reach the ensemble model. This catches sudden events that would never appear in InSAR data. ALERT-level events are fed to the existing fusion engine as additional features.

๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ Roadmap

โœ… Done

  • Anomaly detector built (detector.py)
  • Purple Line simulation validated
  • Threshold table calibrated
  • Dashboard page deployed
  • Impact analysis โ€” fabricated claims fixed

๐Ÿ”„ In Progress

  • Ginnie: global case studies research
  • Babigon: big data sources catalog
  • Agent findings โ†’ spec update

๐Ÿ“‹ Next

  • Integrate GLDAS-2.1 groundwater
  • Map Bangkok construction zones
  • Sentinel-1 coherence pipeline
  • Retrain model with 10 new features
  • BMA/MRTA data access (beyond our control)

๐Ÿ”— Files

  • /root/sinkalert/anomaly/detector.py
  • /root/assignments/construction-risk-enhancement-spec.md
  • /root/assignments/purple-line-simulation-result.json
  • GitHub: auttapongb/sinkalert